Izibalo ze-roulette · Okusetshenziswayo · imizuzu 7

Ubude beseshini nezindleko

Imali yokubheja ihlala isikhathi esingakanani ngenani elithile elibhejwayo, nokuthi amahora abiza malini. Izinombolo abadlali abaningi abangakaze bazibale kodwa okufanele bazibale.

Impendulo emfushane

Ukubheja okulingana nemali ngenani elingashintshi kuhlala, ngokwesilinganiso, ukujikeleza okungu-37 ngenani ngalinye elibhejwayo elisemalini yokubheja, nakuba ingxenye yawo wonke amaseshini iphela ngaphambi kwalokho; izindleko ezilindelekile ngehora = inani elibhejwayo × ukujikeleza ngehora / 37. Ndawonye kukuvumela ukuthi ubale intengo yobusuku ngaphambi kokuthi buqale.

isikhathi sokuphelelwa yimali ekubhejeni okulingana nemali

ukujikeleza okungu-37 × B/s, ngokwesilinganiso

$500 ngo-$10

≈ ukujikeleza okungu-1,364, i-median

izindleko ngehora

s × ukujikeleza/h / 37

$10 ngo-50/h

$13.51 ngehora

Imali yokubheja ihlala isikhathi esingakanani

Ngemali yokubhejaimaliImali yokubhejaInani lonke lemali ebekelwe ukudlala. Ukuphatha imali yokubheja kusho ukunquma ukuthi ingakanani yayo ozoyibeka engcupheni ekubhejeni ngakunye nasesheshini ngayinye.Funda konke → engu-B nenani elingashintshi lokubheja okulingana nemali elingu-s, imali yokubheja yehla ngo-s/37 ngokujikeleza ngakunye ngokwesilinganiso futhi iguquguquka cishe ngo-s ngokujikeleza ngakunye nhlangothi zombili. Ukwehla kukodwa kunquma isilinganiso: imali yokubheja ihlala ukujikeleza okungu-37 × B/s, ngoba yileso sikhathi esidingekayo ukulahlekelwa ngu-B ngo-s/37 ngokujikeleza. Ukuguquguquka kwenza ubude bungalingani. Amanye amaseshini aphela kusenesikhathi ngenxa yochungechunge olubi, ambalwa ahlala isikhathi eside kakhulu, futhi i-median, ubude obungafinyelelwa yingxenye yawo wonke amaseshini, ingaphansi kwesilinganiso. Imali yokubheja engu-$500 ngo-$10 (B/s = 50) ihlala ukujikeleza okungu-1,850 ngokwesilinganiso no-1,364 ku-median, cishe amahora angu-27 etafuleni elibukhoma. Ngo-$50 (B/s = 10) i-median ingukujikeleza okungu-136, ngaphansi kwamahora amathathu.

imali yokubhejainani elibhejwayoB/si-median yokujikeleza kuze kuphelelwe yimali (ukubheja okulingana nemali)ngokujikeleza okungu-50/hisilinganiso sokujikeleza kuze kuphelelwe yimali

$500$51003,134≈ 63 h3,700

$500$10501,364≈ 27 h1,850

$500$2520394≈ 8 h740

$500$5010136≈ amahora 2 nemizuzu 45370

$500$100541≈ imizuzu 50185

$100$1010136≈ amahora 2 nemizuzu 45370

Amanani aqondile: ukubheja ngenani elingashintshi kumbala obomvu esondweni laseYurophu ngaphandle komthetho wokuma. Ukubheja nge-straight up kuphelelwa yimali ngokushesha kuyo yonke imigqa ngenxa yokuguquguquka okuphezulu.

Imali yokubheja efanayo, inani elibhejwayo elifanayo: amanye amaseshini aphela kusenesikhathi, ambalwa aqhubeka isikhathi eside kakhulu, futhi i-median iba ngaphansi kwesilinganiso.

Amahora abiza malini

Ukulahlekelwa okulindelekileizibaloUkulahlekelwa okulindelekileInani elilindelekile liphindaphindwe ngemali yonke ebhejiwe; inani elilahlekayo ngokwesilinganiso phakathi neseshini noma esikhathini esithile.Funda konke → ngehora = inani elibhejwayo × ukujikeleza ngehora / 37. Izinombolo ezimbili ozilawulayo yinani elibhejwayo nesivinini. Umbheji obheja u-$10 ngokujikeleza okungu-50 ngehora ukhokha u-$13.51 ngehora etafuleni laseYurophu, u-$6.76 etafuleni laseFrance, u-$27 etafuleni elisheshayo. Nquma ukuthi ihora le-roulette libaluleke kangakanani kuwe, bese inani elibhejwayo lilandela.

Ukulahlekelwa okulindelekile ngehora ngo-$10 ngokujikeleza$ ngehora

Itafula lasekhasino · 40/h

$10.81

Itafula elibukhoma · 55/h

$14.86

Itafula elibukhoma elisheshayo · 100/h

$27.03

I-RNG · 200/h

$54.05

$ ngehora

027.03$54.05

inani elibhejwayo × ukujikeleza ngehora / 37. Isivinini yisona esinomthelela omkhulu kakhulu kulokho ihora elikubizayo.

I-roulette yaseFrance

Ukukuhlanganisa

Umdlali one-$500 ofuna ubusuku bamahora amane etafuleni elibukhoma lokujikeleza okungu-50 (ukujikeleza okungu-200) futhi ongafuni ukuphelelwa yimali kufanele angabheji ngaphezu kuka-$25 cishe (B/s = 20, i-median yokuphelelwa yimali ingukujikeleza okungu-394). Izindleko ezilindelekile zobusuku zingu-200 × $25 / 37 = $135. Uma u-$135 emningi kakhulu, inani elibhejwayo liyehla futhi ubusuku buyaphepha futhi bushibhe ngesikhathi esisodwa: ngo-$10, izindleko ezilindelekile zingu-$54 futhi ukuphelelwa yimali ngaphambi kokujikeleza okungu-200 akuvamile.

Ubusuku obuyishumi nambili bamahora amane, u-$500 ngo-$25 kokubomvuumphumela uqhathaniswa nesiqalo

amaseshini angu-1,000 × ukujikeleza okungu-500 · okunsomi p10/p25/p75/p90, okuluhlaza okwesibhakabhaka okukhanyayo phakathi, amasampula angu-82 afiphele · hambisa phezu kweshadi ukuze ubone ama-quantile ekujikelezeni

p10 −$500
p25 −$500
phakathi −$500
p75 −$50
p90 +$350

amaseshini angu-1,000 × ukujikeleza okungu-500 · i-y-axis inqunyelwe ku-percentile yoku-1–99 (okweqisayo −$500 kuya ku-+$1,700) · ukujikeleza okungu-500 · isisekelo $25 · okulingana nemali

Isiphetho esilindelekile: −$135. Imigqa eminingi iyasinda; cishe ubusuku obubodwa kobune buthinta iqanda. Ngo-$10 bekungaba cishe obubodwa kokungu-700.

Amaseshini e-straight up

Ku-straight upukubhejaI-straight upInombolo eyodwa, kukhokha u-35:1.Funda konke → (ukubheja enombolweni eyodwa) inani elibhejwayo kufanele libe lincane ukuze iseshini ibe nobude obufanayo: u-σ ngeyunithiimaliIyunithiInani elibhejwayo eliyisisekelo uhlelo noma umdlali asebenza ngalo. Ukwenyuswa kwenani kuchazwa ngamayunithi ukuze kusebenze kunoma yiliphi itafula.Funda konke → ngayinye ungu-5.84 uma kuqhathaniswa no-1 cishe kokubomvuukubhejaBomvuUkubheja okulingana nemali ezinombolweni eziyi-18 ezibomvu. NgesiFulentshi: rouge.Funda konke →, ngakho imali yokubheja kufanele imboze izikhathi ezinde zokungawini. I-median yokujikeleza okungu-200 idinga u-B/s ocishe abe ngu-13 kokubomvu futhi cishe abe ngu-56 enombolweni eyodwa, cishe amanani abhejwayo aphindwe kane. Imali yokubheja engu-$500 ehlala ukujikeleza okungu-200 kwe-straight up ku-median idinga inani elibhejwayo elicishe libe ngu-$9. Abadlali ababheja ama-straight up angu-$25 kusuka ku-$500 bathenga ubusuku obufushane obunomsindo: ukuhluleka okungamashumi amabili ngokulandelana kubuqeda, futhi lokho kwenzeka kaningi kunokuba kungenzeki.

Uhlu lwamanani oluqotho

I-roulette ibiza inani elibhejwayo × ukujikeleza / 37. Konke okunye, uhlelo, inombolo yenhlanhla, ukuzivikela, kunquma isimo sobusuku hhayi intengo yabo. Umdlali obala intengo kuqala bese ekhetha inani elibhejwayo ajabula ukulikhokha uyabe enze okuwukuphela kwengxenye yesu esebenzayo.

Ifomula

E[izindleko ngehora] = s × ukujikeleza/h / 37

isilinganiso sokujikeleza kuze kuphelelwe yimali = 37 × B/s ekubhejeni okulingana nemali

ama-straight up: phinda u-B/s odingekayo ngo-≈ 4

Imibuzo

Ingabe ikhona ifomula elula ye-median?

Ayikho eqondile ncamashi. Emalini yokubheja encane ukuguquguquka kuyabusa futhi i-median ikhula cishe njengo-(B/s)², njengasohlamvini lwemali olufanele. Emalini enkulu inzuzo yekhasino iyabusa futhi i-median isondela esilinganisweni, 37 × B/s. Cishe kumanani abhejwayo angu-20 umthetho we-(B/s)² uvele uhambisane ne-median eqondile, ukujikeleza okungu-394; ngaphansi kwalokho uba mfushane kanti ngaphezulu kwalokho uba mude.

Ingabe umkhawulo wokulahlekelwa ushintsha izindleko?

Unquma isimo esibi kakhulu futhi unciphise iseshini, okwehlisa ukulahlekelwa okulindelekile ngokulingana nokujikeleza okungadlalwanga.

Kuthiwani ngomthetho we-La Partage?

Inquma izindleko ngehora zibe ingxenye ekubhejeni okulingana nemaliukubhejaUkubheja okulingana nemaliBomvu/mnyama, engalingani/elinganayo, phezulu/phansi. Izinombolo eziyi-18, kukhokha u-1:1.Funda konke → futhi iphinda kabili isilinganiso sesikhathi sokuphelelwa yimali, sibe ukujikeleza okungu-74 × B/s.

Ubumnandi bezibalo

Zama lezi ngokwakho kuqala. Isixazululo ngasinye sifihliwe; sivule uma usukulungile.

Ubheja u-$500 ku-bomvuukubhejaBomvuUkubheja okulingana nemali ezinombolweni eziyi-18 ezibomvu. NgesiFulentshi: rouge.Funda konke →, u-$10 ngesikhathi, esondweni laseYurophu, ungenawo umthetho wokuma. Ngokwesilinganiso, imali yokubhejaimaliImali yokubhejaInani lonke lemali ebekelwe ukudlala. Ukuphatha imali yokubheja kusho ukunquma ukuthi ingakanani yayo ozoyibeka engcupheni ekubhejeni ngakunye nasesheshini ngayinye.Funda konke → ihlala ukujikeleza okungakanani?
Bonisa isixazululo
Impendulo Ukujikeleza okungu-1,850: okungu-37 enanini ngalinye kwangu-50 abhejwayo.
Ukujikeleza ngakunye kubiza, ngokwesilinganiso, u-1/37 wenani elibhejwayo: $10/37, cishe amasenti angu-27. Imali yokubheja iqukethe amanani angu-50 abhejwayo, futhi ukulahlekelwa amanani angu-50 ngo-1/37 wenani ekujikelezeni ngakunye kuthatha ukujikeleza okungu-50 × 37 = 1,850.
Ukuguquguquka akusishintshi lesi silinganiso, ngoba iseshini ingaphela kuphela lapho imali isiphelile, futhi konke ukujikeleza ngaphambi kwalokho kubiza amasenti angu-27 afanayo ngokwesilinganiso. Kushintsha ukusabalala: ingxenye yawo wonke amaseshini iphela kungakadluli ukujikeleza okungu-1,364, kanti cishe iseshini eyodwa kwezingamashumi amabili idlula okungu-5,000, futhi lokho kudonsela isilinganiso phezulu.
U-Epstein (2013) unikeza umthetho ojwayelekile: uma ubhekene nekhasino engapheli imali, imali yokubheja enamanani angu-z abhejwayo ihlala u-z ehlukaniswe ngenzuzo yekhasino ekujikelezeni ngakunye. Esondweni laseMelika, lapho ukubheja okulingana nemali kulahlekelwa u-1/19 wenani ekujikelezeni ngakunye, u-$500 ofanayo uhlala ukujikeleza okungu-950 ngokwesilinganiso.

Okokuhlekisa

$Inani elibhejwayo × ukujikeleza / 37. Bala intengo yobusuku ngaphambi kokuthi buqale.$

Inani elibhejwayo × ukujikeleza / 37. Bala intengo yobusuku ngaphambi kokuthi buqale.

Imithombo

Feller, W. An Introduction to Probability Theory and Its Applications, Vol. 1. Wiley, uhlelo lwesi-3, 1968. Ukuphelelwa yimali komgembuli, isahluko XIV.
Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling. Springer, 2010. Isahluko 13, i-roulette.
Epstein, R. A. The Theory of Gambling and Statistical Logic, uhlelo lwesi-2. Academic Press, 2013.

kubuyekezwe ngo-2026-09-28imodeli: yaseYurophu, iqanda elilodwaindlela yokusebenza ↗imithombo ↗