Izibonelo zeseshini · Isibonelo · imizuzu 6

Isibonelo: 1-3-2-6

Amanani abhejwayo angamayunithi angu-1, 3, 2 no-6 lapho uwina kulandelana, ubuyela ku-1 noma nini lapho uhlulwa. Uchungechunge lokwenyuswa kwenaniisuUkwenyuswa kwenaniNoma yimuphi umthetho oshintsha inani elibhejwayo ngokusekelwe emiphumeleni yangaphambili. Ukwenyuswa kwenani ngemuva kokuhlulwa kulikhuphula ngemuva kokulahlekelwa, ukwenyuswa kwenani ngemuva kokuwina kulikhuphula ngemuva kokuwina.Funda konke → ngemuva kokuwina, ukujikeleza ngokujikeleza.

Impendulo emfushane

Iseshini elingisiwe ye-1-3-2-6 yokujikeleza okungu-60 ngo-$10 iyunithi ngayinye kokubomvuukubhejaBomvuUkubheja okulingana nemali ezinombolweni eziyi-18 ezibomvu. NgesiFulentshi: rouge.Funda konke →. Imizamo engamashumi amathathu nantathu: eyishumi nesithupha yedlula isinyathelo sokuqala, eyisikhombisa yedlula esesibili, emibili yaphothulwa ngo-+$120 ngamunye. Isamba ngu-−$50 ngemuva kokuba phambili ngo-$80. Yi-Paroli enekhefu elakhelwe ngaphakathi.

iyunithi
$10 kokubomvu
uchungechunge
1 → 3 → 2 → 6
p(ukuphothula)
5.6%
isamba lapho uphothula
+$120

Hamba nohlelo

Ukuwina kudlulela esinyathelweni esilandelayo. Ukuhlulwa, noma ukuwina kwesine, kubuyela ekuqaleni.

1326Wina
okubhejwayo okulandelayo1umphumela kuze kube manje0ukujikeleza0

Amanani abhejwayo nemiphumela kungamayunithi okubheja okuyisisekelo.

Uhlelo

Bheja iyunithiimaliIyunithiInani elibhejwayo eliyisisekelo uhlelo noma umdlali asebenza ngalo. Ukwenyuswa kwenani kuchazwa ngamayunithi ukuze kusebenze kunoma yiliphi itafula.Funda konke → elingu-1. Uma uwina, bheja ama-3 (ama-2 asesetafuleni kanye neyi-1 eyengeziwe yethu). Uma uwina okwesibili, bheja ama-2 bese ugcina okuseleyo. Uma uwina okwesithathu, bheja ama-6. Ukuwina kwesine kuphothula uchungechunge ngamayunithi angu-+12; noma yikuphi ukuhlulwa kubuyela ku-1. Uchungechunge luhlelwe ukuthi ukuhlulwa esinyathelweni sesibili kubize amayunithi ama-2 esambeni, esinyathelweni sesithathu kusasishiya sino-+2 (sino-+4 ngemuva kwesinyathelo sesibili futhi sibeka engcupheni ama-2), kuthi esinyathelweni sesine kusishiye silingene (sino-+6 futhi sibeka engcupheni ama-6). Okuhehayo ukuthi ukuhlulwa ezinyathelweni zesithathu nezesine kubiza imali yethu encane kakhulu.

Ukujikeleza 1–30

Imizamo eyishumi nesishiyagalombili. Eyishumi yahlulwa esinyathelweni sokuqala (−$10 ngamunye), emihlanu esesibili (−$20 ngamunye), emibili esesithathu (+$20 ngamunye), owodwa waphothulwa ekujikelezeni 27–30 (B B B B, +$120). Isamba ngu-−$40 ngemuva kokujikeleza okungu-30, ngemuva kokuba ku-−$160 ekujikelezeni 26. Uchungechunge oluphothuliwe lwazwakala sengathi uhlelo luyasebenza; kwakuyi-5.6% ifika ngesikhathi sayo.

umzamouchungechungeamanani abhejwayoimali yethu esengoziniisamba
1H10$10−$10
2W H10, 30$20−$20
3W W H10, 30, 20$0+$20
4–17ikakhulu H esinyathelweni 1≤ 30≤ $20−$150
18W W W W10, 30, 20, 60$0+$120
ngemuva kuka-30imizamo engu-18, ongu-1 uphothuliwe−$40

Ukujikeleza 31–60

Imizamo eyishumi nanhlanu, owodwa waphothulwa ekujikelezeni 44–47 ngo-+$120, emibili yafika esinyathelweni sesine yahlulwa lapho (ngamunye u-$0 esambeni: +$60 kuwinwe, bese u-$60 ubhejwa ulahleke). Isamba ngu-−$10 kule ngxenye; ekugcineni −$50; okuphezulu kakhulu +$80 ekujikelezeni 47. Ukuphothula okubili emizamweni engu-33, uma kuqhathaniswa no-1.8 olindelekile: isampula elijwayelekile.

Ukwenyuswa kwenani ngemuva kokuwina: le seshini nezinye eziyishumi nanye ezifana nayoumphumela uqhathaniswa nesiqalo
+$820$0−$1,000+$360−$5000125250375500ukujikelezaumphumela
amaseshini angu-1,000 × ukujikeleza okungu-500 · okunsomi p10/p25/p75/p90, okuluhlaza okwesibhakabhaka okukhanyayo phakathi, amasampula angu-82 afiphele · hambisa phezu kweshadi ukuze ubone ama-quantile ekujikelezeni
  • p10 −$800
  • p25 −$520
  • phakathi −$240
  • p75 +$70
  • p90 +$350
amaseshini angu-1,000 × ukujikeleza okungu-500 · i-y-axis inqunyelwe ku-percentile yoku-1–99 (okweqisayo −$1,000 kuya ku-+$1,200) · ukujikeleza okungu-500 · isisekelo $10 · okulingana nemali
Ukulahlekelwa okuncane okuqhubekayo, ukweqa okuthile ngezikhathi ezithile. I-1-3-2-6 ne-Paroli zinesimo esifanayo; uchungechunge lushintsha osayizi kuphela.

Izibalo

Isamba esibhejiwe cishe ngu-$1,200 uma kuqhathaniswa no-$600 ekubhejeni inani elilinganayo. Ukulahlekelwa okulindelekileizibaloUkulahlekelwa okulindelekileInani elilindelekile liphindaphindwe ngemali yonke ebhejiwe; inani elilahlekayo ngokwesilinganiso phakathi neseshini noma esikhathini esithile.Funda konke → ngu-$32; okwenzekile −$50, ngaphakathi kokuchezuka okujwayelekileizibaloUkuchezuka okujwayelekileImpande yesikwele yokuguquguquka (variance); ibanga elivamile lomphumela ukusuka enanini elilindelekile.Funda konke → okukodwa. Ukwakheka kochungechunge kusho ukuthi iningi lemali esetafuleni emzamweni omude yimali esiyiwine ngokujikeleza okubili okwedlule, futhi lokho kuyinkohliso eyenza kube lula enhliziyweni. Yimali yethu kusukela umzuzu i-croupier isikhokhela yona.

Amathokheni akhokhelwe ngokujikeleza okubili okwedlule asevele eyimali yomdlali uqobo.

Lokho okuboniswa yiseshini

I-1-3-2-6 iyi-ParoliisuParoliUkwenyuswa kwenani ngemuva kokuwina: phinda kabili ngemuva kokuwina, buyela ekuqaleni ngemuva kokuhlulwa noma ngemuva kokuwina kathathu kulandelana. Kubuye kuthiwe: i-Martingale ephambene.Funda konke → enamanani abhejwayo ahlelwe ukuze izinyathelo zakamuva zizwakale zingabizi lutho. AmathubaizibaloAmathubaIthuba lomphumela, kusukela ku-0 kuya ku-1 noma ku-0% kuya ku-100%. Inombolo eyodwa: 1/37 = 2.70%.Funda konke → okuphothula (18/37)⁴ = 5.6% kanye nenkokheloimaliInkokheloLokho ukubheja okuwinile okubuyisayo, okushiwo ngokuthi “X ku-1” ngaphezu kwenani elibhejiwe elibuyiswayo.Funda konke → yokuphothula yamayunithi angu-12 kunqunywa yizibalo; indlela yokubheja inquma kuphela ukuthi i-2.70% engenakugwemeka ihlukaniswa kanjani phakathi kokulahlekelwa okuncane okuningi nokuwina okukhulu okumbalwa. Kumdlali othanda ukulandela uchungechunge, ayinabungozi. Akuyona indlela yokuwina.

Imibuzo

Kungani i-1-3-2-6 hhayi i-1-2-4-8?

I-1-2-4-8 yi-Paroli kuze kube ukuwina kane; ibeka yonke inqwaba engozini esinyathelweni ngasinye. I-1-3-2-6 igcina amayunithi ama-2 ngemuva kwesinyathelo sesibili, ngakho ukuhlulwa esinyathelweni sesithathu akukubizi lutho lwemali yakho. Okulindelekile kuyafana.

Iseshini ephelele ivamise ukubukeka kanjani?

Ilahlekelwa kancane, inokweqa okukodwa noma okubili. Cishe iseshini ezimbili kwezinhlanu ziphela ziphambili ngemuva kokujikeleza okungu-60 ngale yunithi.

Ngingaqhubeka yini ngemuva kokuphothula?

Abanye abadlali baqhubeka nge-1-3-2-6-12. Isinyathelo esilandelayo siwina ku-2.7% yezikhathi (izinombolo ezibomvu ezinhlanu zilandelana) futhi isimo siyafana.

Okokuhlekisa

Ukuwina kane kulandelana: 5.6%. Uchungechunge lunquma kuphela ukuthi kuzwakala kanjani.

Ukuwina kane kulandelana: 5.6%. Uchungechunge lunquma kuphela ukuthi kuzwakala kanjani.

Imithombo

  1. Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling. Springer, 2010. Isahluko 13, i-roulette.
kubuyekezwe ngo-2026-09-28imodeli: yaseYurophu, iqanda elilodwaindlela yokusebenza ↗imithombo ↗