Isu le-Paroli ku-roulette (i-Martingale ehlehlayo)

Lusebenza kanjani uhlelo lwe-Paroli ku-roulette?

Bheja iyunithiimaliIyunithiInani elibhejwayo eliyisisekelo uhlelo noma umdlali asebenza ngalo. Ukwenyuswa kwenani kuchazwa ngamayunithi ukuze kusebenze kunoma yiliphi itafula.Funda konke → elilodwa. Uma uwina, shiya konke etafuleni: ukubheja okulandelayo kungamayunithi amabili. Uwina futhi, kube amane. Uwina okwesithathu, uthathe inzuzo yamayunithi ayisikhombisa bese ubuyela kwelilodwa. Uma uhlulwa nganoma yisiphi isikhathi nawe ubuyela kwelilodwa. Lolo luhlelo lonke. Ngemuva kokuwina kokuqala ubheja imali ewiniwe, ngakho okuningi imali yakho yokubhejaimaliImali yokubhejaInani lonke lemali ebekelwe ukudlala. Ukuphatha imali yokubheja kusho ukunquma ukuthi ingakanani yayo ozoyibeka engcupheni ekubhejeni ngakunye nasesheshini ngayinye.Funda konke → engakulahlekelwa kunoma yimuphi umjikelezo wohlelo yiyunithi elilodwa. Ukuwina okuthathu kulandelana ekubhejeni okulingana nemali kwenzeka ngamathubaizibaloAmathubaIthuba lomphumela, kusukela ku-0 kuya ku-1 noma ku-0% kuya ku-100%. Inombolo eyodwa: 1/37 = 2.70%.Funda konke → angu-(18/37)³ = 11.5%, cishe umjikelezo owodwa emijikelezweni eyisishiyagalolunye.

Iseshini ibukeka kanjani?

Ukuvuza kancane nokweqa ngezikhathi ezithile. Cabanga ngokuthenga ithikithi elincane elifanayo kaninginingi: ngalinye libiza iyunithi elilodwa, amaningi awawini lutho, kanti cishe elilodwa kwayisishiyagalolunye likhokha ayisikhombisa. Amathuba okuqeda iseshini yokujikeleza okungu-100 ngenzuzo aphansi (cishe u-30%) ngoba amaseshini amaningi awanayo imijikelezo eqediwe eyanele ukuvala ukulahlekelwa okuqhubekayo kweyunithi elilodwa; uma iseshini iphela usaphambili, ivamise ukuphela usaphambili kakhulu.

Ingabe uhlelo lwe-Paroli luyasebenza?

Cha. Lishintsha ukwakheka kokulahlekelwa, hhayi ubukhulu bakho. Ake sithi p = 18/37. Uwina u-7 ngamathuba angu-p³ = 0.115; ulahlekelwa ngu-1 ngamathuba angu-1 − p³ = 0.885. Umphumela olindelekile kumjikelezo ngamunye: 7(0.115) − 1(0.885) = 0.805 − 0.885 = −0.08 amayunithi. Amayunithi alindelekile abhejwayo kumjikelezo ngamunye: 1 + 2p + 4p² = 1 + 0.973 + 0.947 = 2.92. Hlukanisa: −0.08 / 2.92 = −2.7%. Lonke uhlelo lunikeza le nombolo uma wenza ukuhlukanisa.

Umcabango oyengayo ngowokuthi amathokheniimaliIthokheniUphawu olumele inani elinqunyiwe, olubekwa ethebuleni lokubheja ukuze ubheje. Kubuye kuthiwe: check.Funda konke → ashiywe etafuleni ayimali yekhasino, ngakho ukuwabheja akubizi lutho. Angawakho kusukela ngesikhathi ekhokhwa, futhi ngalinye elibuyiselwa etafuleni liphethe u-2.70% ofanayo.

Kuthiwani uma ulinda ukuwina okune kulandelana?

I-ParoliisuParoliUkwenyuswa kwenani ngemuva kokuwina: phinda kabili ngemuva kokuwina, buyela ekuqaleni ngemuva kokuhlulwa noma ngemuva kokuwina kathathu kulandelana. Kubuye kuthiwe: i-Martingale ephambene.Funda konke → yokuwina okune iguqula iyunithi elilodwa libe ngu-16, inzuzo engu-15, ngamathuba angu-(18/37)⁴ = 5.6%. U-Taylor (2021) ubuza umbuzo ocijile kakhulu: uma imali yokubheja ingamayunithi ambalwa, ayini amathuba okuthola uchungechunge olunjalo olulodwa ngaphambi kokuthi imali yokubheja iphele? Umjikelezo ngamunye ohlulekile ubiza iyunithi elilodwa ncamashi, ngakho ngamayunithi angu-15 impendulo ingu-1 − (1 − 0.056)¹⁵ = 58%, okungcono kuno-48.6% wokubeka wonke angu-15 kokubomvuukubhejaBomvuUkubheja okulingana nemali ezinombolweni eziyi-18 ezibomvu. NgesiFulentshi: rouge.Funda konke → ngesikhathi esisodwa. Inkinga ibonakala kwezinye izibalo. Uchungechunge luvame ukufika ngemuva kwemijikelezo eminingana ehlulekile, ngakho inzuzo uma lufika iba ngamayunithi angu-9 ngokwesilinganiso, hhayi angu-15, futhi ngoba ukwenyuswa kwenaniisuUkwenyuswa kwenaniNoma yimuphi umthetho oshintsha inani elibhejwayo ngokusekelwe emiphumeleni yangaphambili. Ukwenyuswa kwenani ngemuva kokuhlulwa kulikhuphula ngemuva kokulahlekelwa, ukwenyuswa kwenani ngemuva kokuwina kulikhuphula ngemuva kokuwina.Funda konke → kubheja imali eningi isiyonke, umphumela wako wesilinganiso mubi kunowokubheja okukodwa.

Ingabe kubalulekile ukuthi uma kuphi?

Kubalulekile ekwakhekeni kuphela. I-Paroli yokuwina okubili (uthatha u-3) noma okune (uthatha u-15) ishintsha izinga lokuwina nomklomelo, hhayi inzuzo yekhasino. I-“Parlay” ekubhejeni kwe-straight up (ukushiya ukuwina kwe-35 ku-1 kuqhubeke) iwumqondo ofanayo no-p = 1/37 kanye nenkokheloimaliInkokheloLokho ukubheja okuwinile okubuyisayo, okushiwo ngokuthi “X ku-1” ngaphezu kwenani elibhejiwe elibuyiswayo.Funda konke → engu-1,295 ku-1 lapho kuwina kabili kulandelana, yingakho ikakhulukazi kuyindaba nje hhayi into eyenziwayo.

Ubani olukhethayo, futhi kungani?

Abadlali abafuna umkhawulo omncane nocacile wokulahlekelwa kumjikelezo ngamunye futhi abajabule ukulahlekelwa kancane ukuze bathole ithuba lokuwina okukhulu. Iyisibuko sengqondo se-MartingaleisuMartingaleUkwenyuswa kwenani okuphinda kabili inani elibhejwayo ngemuva kokuhlulwa ngakunye. Bheka isigaba esithi “Amasu okubheja ku-roulette” ukuze ubone ukuthi kwenzani nokuthi yini engakwenzi.Funda konke →: i-Martingale ikwenza uzizwe ungowinayo kuze kube ubusuku ongawini ngabo; i-Paroli ikwenza uzizwe ungolahlekelwayo kuze kube ubusuku ongalahlekelwa ngabo. Ikhasino ithatha u-2.70% wemali yonke ebhejiweimaliImali yonke ebhejiweInani lonke elibhejwe phakathi neseshini noma esikhathini esithile, kubalwa nemali ewiniwe ephinde yabhejwa. Kubuye kuthiwe: handle, action.Funda konke → kunoma iyiphi indlela.

Isilingisi · Paroli

Amaseshini angu-2,000 okubheja okulingana nemali, kuqalwa ngemali yokubheja engu-$1,000.

Ukubheja okuyisisekelo $10 · umkhawulo wetafula $500 · ukujikeleza okungu-100 ngeseshini

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