Amasu okubheja ku-roulette · Okusebenzayo · imizuzu 7

Umkhawulo wokulahlekelwa / umkhawulo wokuwina

Umthetho wokuma uyingxenye eyodwa “yohlelo” enomthelela wangempela, ngoba ushintsha ukuthi ubheja malini.

Impendulo emfushane

Ukuma kusenesikhathi kunciphisa imali yonke ebhejiwe ngakho kunciphisa nokulahlekelwa okulindelekile. Akudali nzuzo yomdlali; umkhawulo wokuwina “awuvikeli” lutho obekungeke kunikezwe noma kuthathwe wukujikeleza okulandelayo.

umthelela ku-EV / $

awukho

umthelela emalini yonke ebhejiwe

mkhulu

umthelela ekuguquguqukeni

mkhulu

ubani onqumayo

wena, kusengaphambili

Umkhawulo wokulahlekelwa

Nquma imali ozimisele ukuyilahlekelwa bese uhamba uma isiphelile. Ukhawulela isimo esibi kakhulu, uqeda iseshini ngaphambi kokuthi uqale ukujaha imali elahlekile, futhi wenza izindleko ezilindelekile zakusihlwa zibalwe: azilokothi zidlule umkhawulo wokulahlekelwaisuUmkhawulo wokulahlekelwaInani lokulahlekelwa elinqunywe kusenesikhathi lapho uqeda khona iseshini.Funda konke →, ngokuvamile zingaphansi. Kuyo yonke imithetho ekule sayithi yiwo oshintsha ngokuthembekile kakhulu lokho okwenzeka kumdlali, ngoba yiwo kuphela oqeda iseshini ngokuthembekile.

Umkhawulo wokuwina

Nquma umgomo bese uhamba uma usuwufinyelele. Wenza amaseshini awinayo avame kakhulu futhi abe mancane. Emaseshinini amaningi isilinganiso sisengu-−2.70% wemali yonke ebhejiweimaliImali yonke ebhejiweInani lonke elibhejwe phakathi neseshini noma esikhathini esithile, kubalwa nemali ewiniwe ephinde yabhejwa. Kubuye kuthiwe: handle, action.Funda konke →; uhlukanise kabusha isikhathi ukulahlekelwa okufika ngaso, awukususanga. Inkulumo ethi “ukuvikela inzuzo” ichaza umuzwa. Ukujikeleza okulandelayo bekuzohlala kungu-18/37 noma ngabe ukudlale namuhla kusihlwa noma ngesonto elizayo.

$10 kokubomvu, isabelomali esingu-$500, ukujikeleza okufika ku-100akukho kumaumkhawulo wokulahlekelwa ongu-$100umkhawulo wokuwina ongu-$100kokubili

amaseshini aphela usaphambili≈ 42%≈ 42%≈ 53%≈ 50%

umphumela wesilinganiso−$27−$22−$20−$16

u-5% wamaseshini amabi kakhulu−$190−$100−$190−$100

u-5% wamaseshini angcono kakhulu+$140+$140+$100+$100

isilinganiso sokujikeleza okudlaliwe100≈ 85≈ 75≈ 60

Kulingisiwe. Ukuma kunciphisa ukulahlekelwa kwesilinganiso kuphela ngokunciphisa ukujikeleza. Ukulahlekelwa ngokujikeleza ngakunye akushintshi.

Impikiswano endala

Ukuthi ukuyeka usaphambili kuyasiza yini sekuphikiswane ngakho isikhathi eside. Isazi se-logic u-John Venn sasibona ukuthi umdlali okuyena yedwa ongakhetha ukuthi ume nini unenzuzo, uma nje isikweletu singenamkhawulo. U-Lord Rayleigh waphendula ngokuthi uma ingcebo inomkhawulo ezinhlangothini zombili inzuzo iyanyamalala, futhi amathiyori esimanje ayavumelana: awukho umthetho wokuthi ume nini oshintsha umphumela wesilinganiso ngeyunithiimaliIyunithiInani elibhejwayo eliyisisekelo uhlelo noma umdlali asebenza ngalo. Ukwenyuswa kwenani kuchazwa ngamayunithi ukuze kusebenze kunoma yiliphi itafula.Funda konke → ngayinye ebhejiwe (Epstein, 2013). IsiFulentshi sinenkulumo yokushiya itafula usaphambili, faire Charlemagne. Iqamba umkhuba, hhayi inzuzo yomdlali.

U-John Venn wayebona ukuthi umdlali okhetha ukuthi ume nini unenzuzo; u-Lord Rayleigh waphendula ngokuthi uma ingcebo inomkhawulo iyanyamalala.

Kungani isilinganiso siba ngcono

Akukhona ngoba ukuma kuthola isikhathi esihle sokuhamba. Kungenxa yokuthi iseshini ephela ngemuva kokujikeleza okungu-60 ibheje amanani angu-60 esikhundleni sangu-100 futhi ikhokhe u-2.70% kumadola ambalwa. Noma yimuphi umthetho onciphisa imali yonke ebhejiwe unciphisa ukulahlekelwa okulindelekileizibaloUkulahlekelwa okulindelekileInani elilindelekile liphindaphindwe ngemali yonke ebhejiwe; inani elilahlekayo ngokwesilinganiso phakathi neseshini noma esikhathini esithile.Funda konke → ngokulingana ncamashi: umkhawulo wokulahlekelwa, umkhawulo wokuwinaisuUmkhawulo wokuwinaUmgomo wenzuzo onqunywe kusenesikhathi lapho uqeda khona iseshini.Funda konke →, umkhawulo wesikhathi, inani lokujikeleza noma nje inani elibhejwayo elincane.

Ukukhetha izinombolo

Umkhawulo wokulahlekelwa ongu-20–40% wesabelomali seseshini wenza ubusuku obubi bukwazi ukusindeka ngaphandle kokuqina kakhulu kangangokuthi ukuguquguqukaizibaloUkuguquguqukaIsilinganiso sokuthi imiphumela ihlakazeke kangakanani ezungeze inani elilindelekile. Kuphezulu ku-straight up, kuphansi ekubhejeni okulingana nemali.Funda konke → okujwayelekile kuwuqalise ubusuku obuningi. Umkhawulo wokuwina ongu-20–50% wesabelomali uyafinyeleleka eseshinini ejwayelekile (okulingana nemali kufika ku-+$100 kusuka ku-$500 ngesinye isikhathi cishe engxenyeni yamaseshini okujikeleza okungu-100) ngaphandle kokuba yinto encane. Izinombolo ngezomuntu siqu; ukuziqeqesha ngokuzibhala phansi akukhona okomuntu siqu.

Amaseshini ayishumi angu-$10; umkhawulo wokulahlekelwa ongu-$100 ubuzoqeda kusenesikhathi lawo ehlayoumphumela uqhathaniswa nesiqalo

amaseshini angu-1,000 × ukujikeleza okungu-500 · okunsomi p10/p25/p75/p90, okuluhlaza okwesibhakabhaka okukhanyayo phakathi, amasampula angu-83 afiphele · hambisa phezu kweshadi ukuze ubone ama-quantile ekujikelezeni

p10 −$460
p25 −$300
phakathi −$140
p75 +$0
p90 +$140

amaseshini angu-1,000 × ukujikeleza okungu-500 · i-y-axis inqunyelwe ku-percentile yoku-1–99 (okweqisayo −$500 kuya ku-+$640) · ukujikeleza okungu-500 · isisekelo $10 · okulingana nemali

Umthetho ngemithetho

Umthetho wokuma usebenza kuphela uma unqunywe ngaphambi kweseshini futhi ungabuyekezwa phakathi kwayo. “Ukujikeleza okukodwa nje ukuze ngibuyele ekulinganeni” kuwumkhawulo wokulahlekelwa oxoxiswana ngawo kabusha ngumuntu owawenzelwe ukumvikela. Uma uthola lokho kwenzeka, yehlisa inani elibhejwayo kunokukhuphula umkhawulo.

Imibuzo

Ingabe umkhawulo wokuwina uyayehlula ikhasino?

Cha. Wenza ukuwina okuncane kuvame kakhulu bese ushiya isilinganiso sesikhathi eside ku-−2.70% walokho okubhejile.

Ingabe umkhawulo wesikhathi muhle njengomkhawulo wokulahlekelwa?

Unciphisa imali yonke ebhejiwe ngendlela efanayo futhi kulula ukuwugcina. Sebenzisa kokubili.

Kuthiwani uma ngifinyelela umkhawulo wokuwina kusenesikhathi?

Hamba. Yilowo umthetho. Ukujikeleza ongakudlalanga akubizi lutho.

Okokuhlekisa

Ukuma kunciphisa imali yonke ebhejiwe. Yilokho kuphela okwenzayo, futhi kwanele.

Imithombo

RouletteDoc. Ukubuka konke kwamasu e-roulette. https://roulettedoc.com/strategy
Roulette77. Ukubuka konke kwamasu e-roulette. https://roulette77.us/strategies
Ethier, S. N. The Doctrine of Chances: Probabilistic Aspects of Gambling. Springer, 2010. Isahluko 13, i-roulette.
Epstein, R. A. The Theory of Gambling and Statistical Logic, 2nd ed. Academic Press, 2013.

kubuyekezwe ngo-2026-09-28imodeli: yaseYurophu, iqanda elilodwaindlela yokusebenza ↗imithombo ↗